Nightfall

Winning probability

MW0.004%

1 - 40

Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)

164.35

MW0.71%

41 - 7130

Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Minimal Wear)

7.07

MW0.99%

7131 - 17020

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear)

5.72

MW1.51%

17021 - 32120

Sawed-Off | Bamboo Shadow (Minimal Wear)

4.37

MW2.7%

32121 - 59070

SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)

3.03

MW5.55%

59071 - 114580

AK-47 | Steel Delta (Minimal Wear)

1.91

MW5.83%

114581 - 172850

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)

1.86

MW6.13%

172851 - 234110

MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)

1.80

MW6.45%

234111 - 298610

G3SG1 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)

1.74

MW6.8%

298611 - 366650

SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)

1.68

MW7.19%

366651 - 438560

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)

1.62

MW7.62%

438561 - 514710

Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear)

1.57

MW8.08%

514711 - 595520

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)

1.51

MW8.6%

595521 - 681480

Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Minimal Wear)

1.45

MW9.17%

681481 - 773150

Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)

1.39

MW9.8%

773151 - 871180

Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear)

1.33

BS10.51%

871181 - 976320

AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)

1.28

MW2.37%

976321 - 1000000

Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Minimal Wear)

0.08

Nightfall contains 18 skins and costs 1.99 gems to open. Every listed item shows its exact drop odds below, and every opening is provably fair — verifiable from the seed commitment behind the Provably Fair button above.